Our tipster Jones Knows sprinkles in his analysis of the latest Premier League fixtures, predicting that Newcastle will take on Man City.
Chelsea vs Fulham, Saturday 12.30pm
If my life depended on this prediction then Chelsea would be the pick, but the odds are against me at 4/7 and Sky Bet feels the price to leave. There are major flaws in Chelsea’s approach to achieving goals – which are at the top of the Premier League – and being clinical in front of goal. Even Cole Palmer caught the error against Middlesbrough.
In a game where I expect Fulham to be competitive, the odds of Willian scoring the first goal – around 14/1 with Sky Bet – look attractive. The former Chelsea man remains a threat even as he approaches his 36th birthday, scoring four times in his last five games, including opening the scoring at Anfield in midweek and scoring the first goal in Fulham’s 2-1 win over Chelsea last season.
GENERAL PRAYER: 1-1
Newcastle vs Manchester City, Saturday 5.30pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
It takes a brave player to believe in a goal line of less than 2.5 goals per Premier League game this season, let alone one involving Manchester City.
However, doing so can lead you to profit by putting faith in the game to a very low level. Newcastle have the defense and the ability to upset Man City despite their form changing dramatically over Christmas. There have been just five goals scored in the last three meetings between the two clubs as City have found it difficult to create big moments against Eddie Howe’s defence.
In those three games, City only managed 0.97 goals against and three shots on target. This is a significant drop in both metrics which have seen City average 2.10 goals expected and 6.3 shots on target per game during Pep Guardiola’s tenure.
And remember, City face a team that has scored just 21 goals in 29 home league games since the start of last season – no Premier League team has a better home defensive record. The 6/5 with Sky Bet on at least 2.5 goals cannot be ignored.
SCORE READING: 0-0
Everton vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Everton have made the second most mistakes (253) in the Premier League this season while Tottenham (292) have more than Aston Villa (257) this season. This has led me to the wrong market for the Everton player in what could be a very difficult game, while Andre Gomes, if selected, looks like an interesting play to make two or more mistakes at 11/8 with Sky Bet and make three or more mistakes. on 9/2.
In 5,790 minutes of Premier League games during his time with Everton, Gomes committed 2.38 fouls per 90 minutes – making him one of the worst in Premier League history.
In the last 20 years, only Glenn Murray (2.68), Marouane Fellaini (2.57) and Ashley Barnes (2.47) have more fouls per game among players who have played more than 5,000 Premier League minutes than Gomes. The Everton midfielder, who returned from injury in December, has already made eight fouls in just 159 minutes of play in all competitions, including fouling out despite playing just one minute in the 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace.
MOST PRAYER: 2-1
Manchester United vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
I want to run as fast as I can so I don’t make bold predictions for this meet.
Which Manchester United is coming? Even Erik ten Hag doesn’t know, so what chance does an idiot like me have?
There should be goals but the market is only 2/5 with Sky Bet offering both teams to score. Drawing goals at 100/30 could be a tie at Old Trafford – it has been 17 games since United drew a home game in the Premier League. Furthermore, there have been no draws in the last 17 meetings between United and Spurs at Old Trafford in a run since October 2005. Those who like the next trend should consider stepping up.
There is potential value in the offsides player market which Bruno Fernandes should be looking at 15/8 with Sky Bet to be caught offside by Tottenham’s top line. Only Aston Villa have had more players caught offside this season with Spurs committing 64 offsides against them. Although he hasn’t played as a starter, Fernandes likes to roam free – as shown by his three offsides in the 3-2 win over Aston Villa, which took his tally to eight this season. 15/8 seems generous.